Normalization in the Middle East: A Dangerous Trap for Arab Monarchies

Donald Trump likes to win, and he likes to make deals that make him look good. He is also not a man with deep understanding. In the Palestinian-Israeli question he sees that the Palestinians are losers who have nothing to offer, while the Israelis are winners. If he makes them happy he will be praised in Israel, and powerful US Zionists (like newly deceased Sheldon Adelson) will help him with everything he wants to accomplish, especially with the Congress, where they have great influence. And the cost of aid to Israel is nothing compared to the big US military budget, which he considers a terrible waste.

That’s how he views it. He doesn’t care about justice or international law, and he doesn’t look at long term consequences. If he thinks about Palestinians at all, he might pity them, but he’s not going to lose sleep over them. Sorry but that’s his way of looking at it.

Trump also sees the normalization process as a win for himself, the US and his Arab partners, because (from his point of view) everyone who participates in normalization will gain advantages.

The most obvious is that “normalization” puts them in common cause with the strongest power in the Middle East as well as the strongest power in the world. There are economic pacts and inducements as well, but for the wealthy states this is not a major consideration.

Of course, Israel is not necessarily the most powerful state in the region if you look beyond the Arab countries towards Iran. But Iran takes a principled position against a racist Zionist state, and considers that position to be in its long term benefit, rather than selling out to powerful forces whose only interest is to dominate and exploit other countries.

Nevertheless, the US and its Zionist allies have managed to manipulate sectarian suspicions to their advantage, and to persuade the “normalization” participants that they will be safer with Zionists and imperialists as allies. This is unfortunate, and it is hard to imagine that such an alliance can endure. But for the time being, these countries seem to have decided that it is in their best interest.

I believe that such a division of the Middle East, consisting of the US and its allies and puppets on the one hand, and those who wish to remain outside of US domination on the other, is a very dangerous situation that could result in major conflict. That is perhaps what the Zionists intend, thinking that they will be the winners in any massive confrontation.

Biden will not dare to anger “Israel” or the Zionists in his administration by reversing or discouraging “normalization”. And he has no reason to do so. His Zionists are not so different from Trump’s Zionists, and so there is likely to be continued danger of a wider conflict. Israel’s main target is Iran, and the US Zionists will continue to try to push the US into policies that will destroy or cripple the Islamic Republic.

Of course, not everything happens the way the US ordains, as the failures of Vietnam and Afghanistan have shown. Russia and China cannot afford to let the US conquer or destroy the entire region, and could therefore be drawn into such a conflict. It is therefore potentially a very dangerous situation.

The Western media is trying to introduce the Axis of Resistance as a kind of expansion of the Shiite influence over the region. Is Venezuela Shiite? Is North Korea Shiite? Cuba? Even Syria has only a very small Shiite population. One could perhaps also include Russia, China and other countries.

What joins them together is not their religion or culture, but rather their desire and intention to protect their sovereignty and independence, and not to be dominated and exploited by any foreign power.

Those who share this commitment are forced for the sake of their own self preservation to become part of the Axis of Resistance against Zionism and imperialism. The U.S. and Israel will paint this collective defense in divisive sectarian and racist hues, but the alliance is already showing strength and resilience through new forms of trade, cooperation and finance. Iran is a leader in these innovative protocols, which show promise of being the wave of the future.

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