If WW III occurs, it’ll be launched by the US in one of three theaters — the Indo/Pacific near China’s border, central Europe against Russia, or the Middle East targeting Iran. These are the world’s key hot spots. Is war likely in one or more of them? What is very unlikely I believe is possible because dominant hardliners run the US — endless wars by hot and/or other means their favored strategies to control planet earth, its resources and populations.
Since the US preemptively attacked nonbelligerent North Korea in June 1950, a perpetual state of war followed against one nation after another. The 9/11 mother of all US state-sponsored false flags unleashed endless wars in multiple theaters against invented enemies.
Hardliners in charge of Biden’s foreign policy risk escalating things further than currently. In my judgment, reported JCPOA nuclear talks progress in Vienna — between Iran, E3 countries, Russia and China — is more illusion than reality. The US has no intention of lifting all illegally imposed sanctions on Iran or normalizing relations. As long as the Islamic Republic is free from US control, it’ll remain on its target list for regime change.
While US war on Iran is unlikely, it’s possible by accident or design. Iranian authorities know the risk, why they’ve prepared militarily to defend the nation in self-defense if attacked. Hopefully the US will never go this far, but who can know. As for Israel, it won’t attack Iran without US permission and involvement, what I don’t expect ahead.
Normalization between some Arab countries and Israel likely followed heavy US pressure, perhaps some bullying, and likely monetary incentives. It’s also well known that the Jewish state is nuclear armed and dangerous. No regional or other nations threaten its security. Since the 1973 Yom Kippur war, Arab nations maintained peace with Israel. That’s highly likely to continue ahead.
Palestinian rights are only recognized rhetorically. The world community of nations, including the Arab world, have done little to help them. They’re largely on their own in pursuing their liberating struggle. It’s been this way for generations.
A few years ago, I met a Palestinian living in Chicago. I strongly support Palestinian rights and wrote many times about Israeli high crimes against them. Yet I was greatly dismayed by the indifference of the ex-pat Palestinian I met toward his own people. Reluctant to discuss abuses against them, I didn’t press the issue with him but never forgot our brief conversation about their plight. II see no relief ahead.
Arab nations pursue their own interests and it’s to their benefit to maintain ties to the West for benefits they derive — what Palestinians can’t give them.
Israel wants Palestinians marginalized, isolated, and too weak to defend their rights. It’s shocking that since Hamas won a parliamentary majority in January 2006 — the last time Palestinian elections were held — Gaza the following year became the world’s largest open-air prison and remains this way because of world community indifference toward their suffering. I see no positive change ahead.
Both right wings of the US war party — Biden the latest — one-sidedly support Israel. It’s been this way since Harry Truman was the first world leader to recognize the Jewish state in May 1948. He extended formal US recognition moments after Israel declared itself a state on stolen Palestinian land.
Since the 1917 Balfour Declaration, Palestinian self-determination and other fundamental rights were written off except rhetorically, especially by the US and Britain. For over a century, endless conflict, occupation, dispossession, and repression, along with social and cultural fragmentation define conditions for beleaguered Palestinians. There’s no end of it in sight because the world community is dismissive of their rights.
One final thought. Empowered undemocratic Dem hardliners terrify me. I think they’re yearning for more war and are in the process of deciding who to attack. When the US attacks another nation preemptively, it invents pretexts to justify what’s unjustifiable. Do undemocratic Dems have another 9/11-type false flag in mind to invent a reason for more wars than already?
I’m very concerned that something like this may be on the drawing board in Washington to launch when Biden regime hardliners decide the time is right. I doubt it’ll be against China, Russia or Iran, but nothing can be ruled out because of their rage for unchallenged global dominance.